In close contests, trends, momentum and what is happening at the top of the ticket all matter considerably. This once close contest only twice showed Abrams within the margin of error to tie Kemp. Since 2016, as Georgia Democrats surged into majorities again across the core counties in metro Atlanta, more ballots were cast in advance of Election Day. Democrats have won advance voting and absentee voting by healthy margins since, and during 2016, 2018 and 2020, more ballots were cast prior to Election Day than on Election Day. The GOP in each case, won the votes on Election Day.
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